The Red Raiders (5-4) sponsor the #2 ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-0) Saturday at Lubbock, in a big 12 Conference game that appears to be a mismatch. Oklahoma State is going head to head with a Texas Tech Red Raiders defense that gives up close to 42 points per conference game as in comparison to Oklahoma State, who has the conference leading scoring offense at 49 points per game. For the Texas Tech Red Raiders defense it’s gut-check time.

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The one thing that can make this game intriguing is Tech’s offense, ranked #10 in the nation. They do have a effective offensive machine, which averages 37 points per game – 497 yards per game. But with a passing game (fifth in the nation) averaging 362 yards per game versus a running game that averages merely 135 yards per game, the Texas Tech Red Raiders offense is pretty one-dimensional.

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Since they have the #2 ranked offense with 557 yard per game, we all know Oklahoma State can put up huge figures offensively. But will their defense have the ability to close down Texas Tech’s offense? The Cowboys have been winning contests this season with their offense, not their defense. Their defense gives up a tremendous 485 yards per game whilst allowing almost 30 points per game.

So if the Texas Tech Red Raiders can come up with a big defensive effort and maybe get a couple of turnovers, they might turn this game into a Saturday afternoon disaster for the Cowboys.

Texas Tech is almost a 20 point underdog in this match up. But Tech is 7-1 SU in the past 8 contests playing Oklahoma State at home. The Cowboys do not like Lubbock, and historically do not perform nicely here. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are additionally 16-6 SU in their last 22 contests playing at home. So it looks as if the Texas Tech Red Raiders might have a tangible home field edge.

Texas Tech is coming off a 52-20 road loss to Texas, where they didn’t cover the 14 point spread as longshots. Over gamblers were paid off by the 72 points. Oklahoma State was a 52-45 winner this past week at home versus Kansas State, and they additionally didn’t cover the spread of 21 points as faves. The 97 total points paid off Over gamblers here too. The over/under on this game is 78.5 points.

These two strong offenses with relatively weak defenses make the Over bet look pretty tempting for this game. Watch for Texas Tech to come up with a big game on Saturday, maybe not the upset. But Oklahoma State will not cover the spread.